PUBLICATIONS | Policy Briefs

 

 

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08 June 2020

Setting New Priorities for the ECB's Mandate

Christophe Blot, Jérôme Creel, Emmanuelle Faure, Paul Hubert


- In a statement announcing the review of its monetary policy strategy, the European Central Bank (ECB) stated that it will, in addition to price stability, also take into account how “other considerations, such as financial stability, employment and environmental sustainability, can be relevant in pursuing the ECB's mandate”...

28 January 2020

The European Green Deal: Bring back the new

Éloi Laurent



On December 11 2019, the European Commission released a communication outlining a blueprint for a “European Green Deal”. To clarify its scope and limits, this Policy brief offers a critical examination of the main concepts that underpin and frame it: carbon neutrality, decoupling, resource efficiency, inclusive growth and just transition...

09 January 2020

Normalized average borrowing from the rest of the world against normalized primary deficit

Paul Malliet


Dans un contexte où l'humanité doit réduire drastiquement ses émissions de gaz à effet de serre afin de limiter la hausse des températures, la mesure des émissions carbone est devenue un enjeu essentiel du XXIe siècle...

16 December 2019

Has the ECB lost its mind?

Christophe Blot, Paul Hubert


This Policy brief analyses the recent expansionary decisions of the ECB in September 2019, which are now under scrutiny and have even been criticized.
Recent facts confirm the need of an expansionary monetary policy, as inflation expectations are still decreasing and credit remains weak.
We pay a special attention to the three types of risk evoked in the public debate.
First, it has been argued that low interest rates could increase the households saving rate due to an...

12 December 2019

The euro area at the edge of the downturn: Is there any room for manoeuvre?

Christophe Blot, Bruno Ducoudré, Éric Heyer, Raul Sampognaro


This Policy brief presents the last OFCE forecasts on the euro area countries and addresses the issue of margins for manoeuvre to cope with an extended period of economic slowdown in the area. Will fiscal rules fetter policy reaction? We forecast a growth rate of 1.2%, but negative risks remain substantial. We then discuss public debt evolution and compute the fiscal policies necessary to reach a 60% public debt over GDP target in 2040...

14 May 2019

Italy: escaping the high-debt and low-growth trap

Céline Antonin, Mattia Guerini, Mauro Napoletano, Francesco Vona


With public debt amounting to 132.1% of GDP and negative productivity growth over the last twenty years, Italy appears to be stuck in a high-debt and low-growth trap...

02 April 2019

Social sustainability: From SDGs to policies

Guillaume Allègre


On 25 September 2015, 193 UN Member States adopted the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) for 2030. The SDGs define multiple aims: well-being, poverty, health, education, gender equality, decent work, economic growth, reduction of inequalities, innovation, infrastructure investment, inclusive cities, clean water, clean energy, preserving biodiversity, climate change, peace, justice and strong institutions...

02 April 2019

Some challenges ahead for the EU

Christophe Blot, Jérôme Creel, Magali Dauvin, Bruno Ducoudré, Raul Sampognaro, Xavier Timbeau, Andrew Watt


In the euro area growth is holding up but the general outlook is less bright than in recent years. The anticipated slowdown largely results from the gradual attenuation of the post-Great Recession recovery momentum and the convergence of growth rates towards a lower potential growth path...

11 December 2018

An explorative evaluation of the climate debt

Adeline Guéret, Paul Malliet, Aurélien Saussay, Xavier Timbeau


The international process for tackling climate change endured several backslashes since the signing of the Paris Agreement in 2015. Issues around the respective responsibilities are not fully solved yet. The underlying question of how to share efforts in order to reach a Zero Net Emissions state remains largely unclear and the INDCs process has still to deliver a pathway for decarbonization...

07 May 2018

Job Losses and the Political Acceptability of Climate Policies: An Amplified Collective Action Problem

Francesco Vona


Political acceptability is an essential issue in choosing the appropriate climate policy. Sociologists and behavioral scientists recognize the importance of selecting environmental policies that have broad political support, while economists compare different instruments first based on their efficiency and then by assessing their distributional impacts and thus the political acceptability of such policies...

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